Linero vs Växjö Norra Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00
3 1.20
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 55%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Växjö Norra Linero ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13194639

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Linero win · Linero 3–1 Växjö Norra
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Division 2 - Södra Götaland
  • Fixture: Linero vs Växjö Norra
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Linero 1.2 — Växjö Norra 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
  • Model: 45.7% · Implied: 33.6% · Probability edge: +12.1 pts · Est. EV: +28.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Division 2 - Södra Götaland Division 2 - Södra Götaland — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Karlskrona 25 19 3 3 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 25 16 5 4 53
3 Oskarshamns AIK 25 14 3 8 45
4 Berga 25 13 4 8 43
5 Nosaby 25 12 6 7 42
6 Linero 25 13 2 10 41
7 Växjö Norra 25 9 8 8 35
8 Österlen 25 9 6 10 33
9 Staffanstorp United 25 7 8 10 29
10 Lilla Torg 25 6 11 8 29
11 Sölvesborg 25 9 2 14 29
12 Torns 25 7 0 18 21
13 Räppe 25 4 6 15 18
14 Karlshamn 25 4 2 19 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Karlskrona 25 64 23 +41 60
2 Oskarshamns AIK 25 61 33 +28 45
3 Berga 25 55 37 +18 43
4 IFK Trelleborg 25 53 24 +29 53
5 Linero 25 48 42 +6 41
6 Nosaby 25 47 40 +7 42
7 Österlen 25 42 41 +1 33
8 Staffanstorp United 25 39 41 -2 29
9 Sölvesborg 25 36 47 -11 29
10 Lilla Torg 25 34 42 -8 29
11 Växjö Norra 25 32 36 -4 35
12 Torns 25 31 71 -40 21
13 Räppe 25 26 55 -29 18
14 Karlshamn 25 26 62 -36 14