Statistics / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Norra Svealand / Bollstanäs vs Kungsängen

Bollstanäs vs Kungsängen Statistics & Analysis

Bollstanäs Bollstanäs
Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.36
3 1.24
xG Accuracy: 52%
Kungsängen Kungsängen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bollstanäs Kungsängen ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13194606

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kungsängen win · Bollstanäs 2–3 Kungsängen
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 2 - Norra Svealand
  • Fixture: Bollstanäs vs Kungsängen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Bollstanäs 1.36 — Kungsängen 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.6% · Probability edge: +12.2 pts · Est. EV: +23.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Norra Svealand Division 2 - Norra Svealand — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Skiljebo 24 17 5 2 56
2 Angby 24 15 6 3 51
3 Sunnersta 24 15 5 4 50
4 Enskede 24 15 4 5 49
5 Täby 24 12 5 7 41
6 Falu BS 24 12 5 7 41
7 Gute 24 9 5 10 32
8 Franke 24 9 4 11 31
9 Bollstanäs 24 8 7 9 31
10 Kungsängen 24 4 10 10 22
11 Lidingö 24 5 5 14 20
12 Viggbyholms IK 24 5 4 15 19
13 Korsnäs 24 3 5 16 14
14 Helges 24 2 4 18 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sunnersta 24 58 21 +37 50
2 Angby 24 58 27 +31 51
3 Skiljebo 24 56 25 +31 56
4 Bollstanäs 24 43 45 -2 31
5 Täby 24 42 25 +17 41
6 Enskede 24 41 24 +17 49
7 Franke 24 40 41 -1 31
8 Gute 24 38 35 +3 32
9 Falu BS 24 37 30 +7 41
10 Kungsängen 24 27 37 -10 22
11 Lidingö 24 26 52 -26 20
12 Korsnäs 24 25 57 -32 14
13 Viggbyholms IK 24 23 49 -26 19
14 Helges 24 20 66 -46 10
Division 2 - Norra Svealand Sweden. Division 2 - Norra Svealand Predictions