Statistics / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Norra Svealand / Lidingö vs Bollstanäs

Lidingö vs Bollstanäs Statistics & Analysis

Lidingö Lidingö
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:15
0 1.28
4 1.32
xG Accuracy: 34%
Bollstanäs Bollstanäs
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bollstanäs Bollstanäs ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11255312

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bollstanäs win · Lidingö 0–4 Bollstanäs
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 2 - Norra Svealand
  • Fixture: Lidingö vs Bollstanäs
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Lidingö 1.28 — Bollstanäs 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.8% · Probability edge: +14.0 pts · Est. EV: +33.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Norra Svealand Division 2 - Norra Svealand — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Skiljebo 24 17 5 2 56
2 Sunnersta 24 15 5 4 50
3 Enskede 24 15 4 5 49
4 Angby 23 14 6 3 48
5 Täby 24 12 5 7 41
6 Falu BS 24 12 5 7 41
7 Gute 24 9 5 10 32
8 Bollstanäs 24 8 7 9 31
9 Franke 23 8 4 11 28
10 Kungsängen 24 4 10 10 22
11 Lidingö 24 5 5 14 20
12 Viggbyholms IK 24 5 4 15 19
13 Korsnäs 23 3 5 15 14
14 Helges 23 2 4 17 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sunnersta 24 58 21 +37 50
2 Skiljebo 24 56 25 +31 56
3 Angby 23 49 27 +22 48
4 Bollstanäs 24 43 45 -2 31
5 Täby 24 42 25 +17 41
6 Enskede 24 41 24 +17 49
7 Gute 24 38 35 +3 32
8 Falu BS 24 37 30 +7 41
9 Franke 23 37 40 -3 28
10 Kungsängen 24 27 37 -10 22
11 Lidingö 24 26 52 -26 20
12 Korsnäs 23 24 54 -30 14
13 Viggbyholms IK 24 23 49 -26 19
14 Helges 23 20 57 -37 10
Division 2 - Norra Svealand Sweden. Division 2 - Norra Svealand Predictions