Statistics / Football / Netherlands. U21 Divisie 1 / Willem II U21 vs De Graafschap U21

Willem II U21 vs De Graafschap U21 Statistics & Analysis

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Willem II U21
May 09, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
De Graafschap U21 De Graafschap U21
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Draw ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 09:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2920907

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Willem II U21 0–0 De Graafschap U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: U21 Divisie 1
  • Fixture: Willem II U21 vs De Graafschap U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Willem II U21 1.45 — De Graafschap U21 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.9% · Over 2.5 65.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 77.0% · No 23.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 77.0% · No 23.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.8%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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U21 Divisie 1 U21 Divisie 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Groningen U21 14 11 1 2 34
2 Feyenoord U21 14 7 2 5 23
3 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 22
4 Willem II U21 15 7 1 7 22
4 Willem II Tilburg U21 15 7 1 7 22
5 Twente / Heracles U21 14 6 2 6 20
6 De Graafschap U21 14 5 3 6 18
7 PEC Zwolle U21 14 5 0 9 15
8 Go Ahead Eagles U21 14 4 0 10 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Feyenoord U21 14 30 27 +3 23
2 Cambuur U21 14 29 22 +7 22
3 Twente / Heracles U21 14 29 26 +3 20
4 Groningen U21 14 28 11 +17 34
5 Willem II U21 15 27 25 +2 22
6 Willem II Tilburg U21 15 27 25 +2 22
7 PEC Zwolle U21 14 22 33 -11 15
8 De Graafschap U21 14 18 21 -3 18
9 Go Ahead Eagles U21 14 14 30 -16 12
U21 Divisie 1 Netherlands. U21 Divisie 1 Predictions