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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Elgin City Partick ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.31
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Partick win · Elgin City 2–3 Partick
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 43.2%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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