Statistics / Football / Georgia. Erovnuli Liga / Meshakhte vs Saburtalo

Meshakhte vs Saburtalo Statistics & Analysis

Meshakhte Meshakhte
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:30
1 1.21
2 1.39
xG Accuracy: 80%
Saburtalo Saburtalo
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Saburtalo Saburtalo ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13191738

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Saburtalo win · Meshakhte 1–2 Saburtalo
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Erovnuli Liga
  • Fixture: Meshakhte vs Saburtalo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Meshakhte 1.21 — Saburtalo 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Erovnuli Liga Erovnuli Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rustavi 28 14 7 7 49
2 Saburtalo 28 15 4 9 49
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 48
4 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 47
5 Dila 28 12 4 12 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 28 9 10 9 37
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 29
9 Spaeri 28 5 11 12 26
10 Meshakhte 28 2 11 15 17
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dinamo Batumi 27 46 36 +10 47
2 Torpedo Kutaisi 28 46 37 +9 37
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 45 30 +15 48
4 Saburtalo 28 40 31 +9 49
5 Dila 28 39 33 +6 40
6 Samgurali 27 38 52 -14 32
7 Spaeri 28 37 46 -9 26
8 Rustavi 28 35 24 +11 49
9 Gagra 27 25 37 -12 29
10 Meshakhte 28 21 46 -25 17
Erovnuli Liga Georgia. Erovnuli Liga Predictions