Statistics / Football / USA. NWSL Women / NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Angel City W

NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Angel City W Statistics & Analysis

NJ/NY Gotham FC W NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Oct 04, 2026 - 17:00
1 2.30
1 1.72
xG Accuracy: 57%
Angel City W Angel City W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 NJ/NY Gotham FC W Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 3-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11682869

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1–1 Angel City W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NWSL Women
  • Fixture: NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Angel City W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 50.5% · Draw 22.5% · Away 27.0%
  • xG (showing): NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2.3 — Angel City W 1.72 (total xG ≈ 4.02)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 76.5% · Implied: 53.6% · Probability edge: +22.9 pts · Est. EV: +33.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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NWSL Women NWSL Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 NJ/NY Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 46
5 Kansas City W 27 13 5 9 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 43
7 Portland Thorns W 27 12 7 8 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 42
9 Seattle Reign FC 27 12 4 11 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 29
14 Bay FC 27 7 5 15 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 24
16 Chicago Red Stars W 27 5 2 20 17
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 North Carolina Courage W 27 50 39 +11 42
2 Kansas City W 27 48 38 +10 44
3 Angel City W 27 45 29 +16 43
4 Denver Summit W 27 45 37 +8 38
5 Portland Thorns W 27 45 39 +6 43
6 Utah Royals W 27 44 35 +9 46
7 San Diego Wave W 27 40 28 +12 51
8 Washington Spirit W 27 39 26 +13 49
9 Orlando Pride W 27 36 43 -7 33
10 Boston Legacy W 27 36 46 -10 29
11 Racing Louisville W 27 36 52 -16 24
12 NJ/NY Gotham FC W 27 35 21 +14 55
13 Houston Dash W 27 34 39 -5 30
14 Seattle Reign FC 27 33 32 +1 40
15 Bay FC 27 28 42 -14 26
16 Chicago Red Stars W 27 15 63 -48 17
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 San Diego Wave W 27 7.6 4.5 +3.1 51
2 Denver Summit W 27 3.9 1.9 +2.0 38
3 Bay FC 27 3.1 1.4 +1.7 26
4 Orlando Pride W 27 4.6 3.5 +1.1 33
5 North Carolina Courage W 27 2.3 1.2 +1.1 42
6 Boston Legacy W 27 3.9 2.9 +1.0 29
7 Seattle Reign FC 27 3.2 2.3 +0.9 40
8 Utah Royals W 27 1.5 1.9 -0.4 46
9 Kansas City W 27 3.7 4.2 -0.5 44
10 Washington Spirit W 27 1.2 2.3 -1.1 49
11 Angel City W 27 1.7 3.0 -1.3 43
12 Portland Thorns W 27 3.0 4.5 -1.5 43
13 Racing Louisville W 27 1.4 3.1 -1.7 24
14 Houston Dash W 27 1.9 3.9 -2.0 30
15 Chicago Red Stars W 27 1.2 3.5 -2.3 17
16 NJ/NY Gotham FC W 27 — — — 55