Statistics / Football / Netherlands. U19 Divisie 1 / Sparta Rotterdam U19 vs AZ U19

Sparta Rotterdam U19 vs AZ U19 Statistics & Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam U19 Sparta Rotterdam U19
May 30, 2026 - 10:15
0 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
AZ U19 AZ U19
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sparta Rotterdam U19 AZ U19 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 1-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 00:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1662226

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result AZ U19 win · Sparta Rotterdam U19 0–2 AZ U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: U19 Divisie 1
  • Fixture: Sparta Rotterdam U19 vs AZ U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-30 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Sparta Rotterdam U19 1.45 — AZ U19 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 18.5% · Over 2.5 81.5%); BTTS Yes (Yes 86.0% · No 14.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 86.0% · No 14.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (7.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
U19 Divisie 1 U19 Divisie 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 AZ U19 14 10 2 2 32
2 Feyenoord U19 14 9 5 0 32
3 PSV U19 14 7 4 3 25
4 Ajax U19 14 5 2 7 17
5 NEC Nijmegen U19 14 4 4 6 16
6 ADO Den Haag U19 14 4 2 8 14
7 Willem II U19 14 4 0 10 12
8 Utrecht U19 14 2 3 9 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 AZ U19 14 40 19 +21 32
2 Feyenoord U19 14 34 16 +18 32
3 NEC Nijmegen U19 14 34 36 -2 16
4 Ajax U19 14 31 30 +1 17
5 PSV U19 14 29 22 +7 25
6 Willem II U19 14 23 39 -16 12
7 ADO Den Haag U19 14 22 34 -12 14
8 Utrecht U19 14 18 35 -17 9