Statistics / Football / Georgia. Liga 3 / Didube 2014 vs Iberia 2010

Didube 2014 vs Iberia 2010 Statistics & Analysis

Didube 2014 Didube 2014
Sep 10, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.36
1 1.24
xG Accuracy: 64%
Iberia 2010 Iberia 2010
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Didube 2014 Iberia 2010 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 04, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6847454

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Iberia 2010 win · Didube 2014 0–1 Iberia 2010
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga 3
  • Fixture: Didube 2014 vs Iberia 2010
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Didube 2014 1.36 — Iberia 2010 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Liga 3 Liga 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 51
2 Varketili 22 14 7 1 49
3 Saburtalo II 22 11 8 3 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35
7 Irao 22 10 4 8 34
8 Didube 2014 22 9 7 6 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi II 22 9 5 8 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30
11 Lokomotivi Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 28
12 Kolkheti Khobi 22 6 3 13 21
13 Gardabani 22 4 4 14 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 13
15 Betlemi 22 3 4 15 13
16 Iberia 2010 22 2 5 15 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Guria 22 63 11 +52 51
2 Varketili 22 54 14 +40 49
3 Merani Tbilisi 22 37 27 +10 39
4 Irao 22 36 25 +11 34
5 WIT Georgia 22 35 25 +10 35
6 Saburtalo II 22 34 16 +18 41
7 Didube 2014 22 34 28 +6 34
8 Dinamo Tbilisi II 22 34 30 +4 32
9 Gonio 22 32 22 +10 38
10 Margveti 2006 22 30 35 -5 30
11 Kolkheti Khobi 22 28 45 -17 21
12 Lokomotivi Tbilisi 22 27 28 -1 28
13 Iveria Khashuri 22 22 46 -24 13
14 Gardabani 22 18 53 -35 16
15 Iberia 2010 22 18 56 -38 11
16 Betlemi 22 13 54 -41 13