Statistics / Football / Sweden. Ettan - Södra / trelleborgs FF vs Kristianstad

trelleborgs FF vs Kristianstad Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 trelleborgs FF trelleborgs FF ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13188031

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result trelleborgs FF win · trelleborgs FF 2–0 Kristianstad
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ettan - Södra
  • Fixture: trelleborgs FF vs Kristianstad
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): trelleborgs FF 1.32 — Kristianstad 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Ettan - Södra Ettan - Södra — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 trelleborgs FF 27 18 6 3 60
2 Hässleholms IF 26 15 3 8 48
3 Atvidabergs FF 26 13 8 5 47
4 Lund 27 12 8 7 44
5 AFC Malmo 26 12 8 6 44
6 Rosengård 26 10 9 7 39
7 Trollhättan 26 10 8 8 38
8 Tvååker 26 9 7 10 34
9 Jonkopings Sodra 26 9 6 11 33
10 Olympic 26 10 3 13 33
11 Skövde AIK 26 8 9 9 33
12 Eskilsminne 26 9 5 12 32
13 Kristianstad 26 7 6 13 27
14 Laholm 26 7 5 14 26
15 Angelholms FF 26 5 9 12 24
16 Utsikten 26 2 6 18 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 trelleborgs FF 27 61 30 +31 60
2 Lund 27 52 36 +16 44
3 Atvidabergs FF 26 50 36 +14 47
4 AFC Malmo 26 49 37 +12 44
5 Olympic 26 48 50 -2 33
6 Hässleholms IF 26 47 30 +17 48
7 Trollhättan 26 45 41 +4 38
8 Rosengård 26 42 38 +4 39
9 Eskilsminne 26 42 51 -9 32
10 Tvååker 26 34 40 -6 34
11 Skövde AIK 26 33 42 -9 33
12 Laholm 26 33 44 -11 26
13 Angelholms FF 26 33 47 -14 24
14 Jonkopings Sodra 26 29 27 +2 33
15 Kristianstad 26 29 39 -10 27
16 Utsikten 26 23 62 -39 12