EIF vs Haka Statistics & Analysis

EIF

Sep 12, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.36

2 1.24

xG Accuracy: 68%

Haka

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 EIF Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7425388

Closing Odds 1.7

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Draw · EIF 2–2 Haka

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE5 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices EIF (1X2), Draw (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on EIF (1X2) by about 16.9 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
EIF (1X2)	38.0	21.2	+16.9
Draw (1X2)	29.6	23.1	+6.5
Haka (1X2)	32.4	55.8	-23.4
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	61.0	-12.8
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	39.0	+12.8

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 38.0% on EIF (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 21.2%. The difference — about 16.9 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE5 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE5)
EIF (1X2)	4.48	4.48
Draw (1X2)	4.11	4.11
Haka (1X2)	1.7	1.7
Over 2.5 goals	1.56	1.56
Under 2.5 goals	2.44	2.44

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Ykkösliiga
Fixture: EIF vs Haka
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): EIF 1.36 — Haka 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.9% · Probability edge: +11.9 pts · Est. EV: +26.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for EIF & Haka!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Ykkösliiga — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kooteepee	23	17	3	3	54
2	PK-35	23	14	6	3	48
3	Haka	23	12	5	6	41
4	JIPPO	23	11	7	5	40
5	JäPS	23	10	2	11	32
6	EIF	23	8	4	11	28
7	MP	23	7	4	12	25
8	Klubi-04	23	4	8	11	20
9	KäPa	23	4	6	13	18
10	SJK Akatemia	23	2	7	14	13

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Haka	23	43	26	+17	41
2	PK-35	23	41	15	+26	48
3	Kooteepee	23	41	21	+20	54
4	JIPPO	23	32	20	+12	40
5	Klubi-04	23	28	34	-6	20
6	EIF	23	28	35	-7	28
7	MP	23	25	34	-9	25
8	KäPa	23	24	41	-17	18
9	JäPS	23	21	34	-13	32
10	SJK Akatemia	23	14	37	-23	13