Statistics / Football / Finland. Ykkösliiga / PK-35 vs JIPPO

PK-35 vs JIPPO Statistics & Analysis

PK-35 PK-35
Jul 25, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 85%
JIPPO JIPPO
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 JIPPO Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1456218

Closing Odds 2.68
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · PK-35 1–1 JIPPO
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE5 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices JIPPO (1X2), Over 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Over 2.5 goals by about 9.2 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
PK-35 (1X2) 34.5 35.6 -1.1
Draw (1X2) 29.7 29.6 +0.1
JIPPO (1X2) 35.8 34.8 +1.0
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 39.0 +9.2
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 61.0 -9.2
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 48.2% on Over 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 39.0%. The difference — about 9.2 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE5 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE5) Implied Δ (pp)
PK-35 (1X2) 2.68 2.68 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.22 3.22 0.0
JIPPO (1X2) 2.74 2.74 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 2.44 2.44 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 1.56 1.56 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Ykkösliiga
  • Fixture: PK-35 vs JIPPO
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-25 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.5% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.8%
  • xG (showing): PK-35 1.28 — JIPPO 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 40.7% · Probability edge: +7.5 pts · Est. EV: +17.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for PK-35 & JIPPO!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Ykkösliiga Ykkösliiga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kooteepee 23 17 3 3 54
2 PK-35 23 14 6 3 48
3 Haka 23 12 5 6 41
4 JIPPO 23 11 7 5 40
5 JäPS 23 10 2 11 32
6 EIF 23 8 4 11 28
7 MP 23 7 4 12 25
8 Klubi-04 23 4 8 11 20
9 KäPa 23 4 6 13 18
10 SJK Akatemia 23 2 7 14 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Haka 23 43 26 +17 41
2 PK-35 23 41 15 +26 48
3 Kooteepee 23 41 21 +20 54
4 JIPPO 23 32 20 +12 40
5 Klubi-04 23 28 34 -6 20
6 EIF 23 28 35 -7 28
7 MP 23 25 34 -9 25
8 KäPa 23 24 41 -17 18
9 JäPS 23 21 34 -13 32
10 SJK Akatemia 23 14 37 -23 13
Ykkösliiga Finland. Ykkösliiga Predictions