Statistics / Football / Sweden. Elitettan / Trelleborg W vs Elfsborg

Trelleborg W vs Elfsborg Statistics & Analysis

Trelleborg W Trelleborg W
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.39
4 1.21
xG Accuracy: 39%
Elfsborg Elfsborg
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Trelleborg W Elfsborg ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11224589

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Elfsborg win · Trelleborg W 2–4 Elfsborg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Trelleborg W vs Elfsborg
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Trelleborg W 1.39 — Elfsborg 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.1% · Probability edge: +7.7 pts · Est. EV: +13.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Elfsborg 21 14 6 1 48
2 KIF Örebro 21 15 2 4 47
3 Göteborg 21 13 6 2 45
4 Linköping 21 13 3 5 42
5 Umeå 21 11 4 6 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 9 5 7 32
7 Husqvarna W 21 8 4 9 28
8 Jitex W 21 7 6 8 27
9 Örebro Söder W 21 7 5 9 26
10 Enskede W 21 6 4 11 22
11 Alingsås W 21 4 7 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 21 4 5 12 17
13 Sandviken W 21 2 5 14 11
14 Häcken II 21 2 2 17 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Göteborg 21 52 24 +28 45
2 KIF Örebro 21 50 25 +25 47
3 Elfsborg 21 41 12 +29 48
4 Linköping 21 39 28 +11 42
5 Umeå 21 37 24 +13 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 30 31 -1 32
7 Enskede W 21 29 39 -10 22
8 Jitex W 21 28 30 -2 27
9 Husqvarna W 21 28 32 -4 28
10 Örebro Söder W 21 26 32 -6 26
11 Gamla Upsala W 21 22 35 -13 17
12 Häcken II 21 22 45 -23 8
13 Sandviken W 21 20 56 -36 11
14 Alingsås W 21 18 29 -11 19