Statistics / Football / Sweden. Elitettan / Jitex W vs Linköping

Jitex W vs Linköping Statistics & Analysis

Jitex W Jitex W
Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 76%
Linköping Linköping
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Jitex W Jitex W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10973776

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Jitex W win · Jitex W 2–1 Linköping
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Jitex W vs Linköping
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Jitex W 1.3 — Linköping 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.0% · Probability edge: +11.8 pts · Est. EV: +23.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Elfsborg 21 14 6 1 48
2 KIF Örebro 21 15 2 4 47
3 Göteborg 21 13 6 2 45
4 Linköping 21 13 3 5 42
5 Umeå 21 11 4 6 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 9 5 7 32
7 Husqvarna W 21 8 4 9 28
8 Jitex W 21 7 6 8 27
9 Örebro Söder W 21 7 5 9 26
10 Enskede W 21 6 4 11 22
11 Alingsås W 21 4 7 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 21 4 5 12 17
13 Sandviken W 21 2 5 14 11
14 Häcken II 21 2 2 17 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Göteborg 21 52 24 +28 45
2 KIF Örebro 21 50 25 +25 47
3 Elfsborg 21 41 12 +29 48
4 Linköping 21 39 28 +11 42
5 Umeå 21 37 24 +13 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 30 31 -1 32
7 Enskede W 21 29 39 -10 22
8 Jitex W 21 28 30 -2 27
9 Husqvarna W 21 28 32 -4 28
10 Örebro Söder W 21 26 32 -6 26
11 Gamla Upsala W 21 22 35 -13 17
12 Häcken II 21 22 45 -23 8
13 Sandviken W 21 20 56 -36 11
14 Alingsås W 21 18 29 -11 19