Statistics / Football / Sweden. Elitettan / Örebro Söder W vs Linköping

Örebro Söder W vs Linköping Statistics & Analysis

Örebro Söder W Örebro Söder W
Sep 25, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.38
0 1.22
xG Accuracy: 60%
Linköping Linköping
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Örebro Söder W Örebro Söder W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9567564

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Örebro Söder W win · Örebro Söder W 2–0 Linköping
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Örebro Söder W vs Linköping
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Örebro Söder W 1.38 — Linköping 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Elfsborg 19 13 5 1 44
2 Linköping 20 13 3 4 42
3 Göteborg 19 12 5 2 41
4 KIF Örebro 19 13 2 4 41
5 Umeå 19 9 4 6 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 8 5 6 29
7 Husqvarna W 19 7 4 8 25
8 Jitex W 19 6 5 8 23
9 Örebro Söder W 20 6 5 9 23
10 Alingsås W 19 4 7 8 19
11 Enskede W 19 5 4 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 19 4 5 10 17
13 Sandviken W 19 2 5 12 11
14 Häcken II 19 2 1 16 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Göteborg 19 49 22 +27 41
2 KIF Örebro 19 41 24 +17 41
3 Linköping 20 38 26 +12 42
4 Elfsborg 19 36 9 +27 44
5 Umeå 19 33 23 +10 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 27 27 0 29
7 Husqvarna W 19 27 30 -3 25
8 Enskede W 19 26 36 -10 19
9 Jitex W 19 24 27 -3 23
10 Örebro Söder W 20 23 30 -7 23
11 Gamla Upsala W 19 21 32 -11 17
12 Sandviken W 19 19 47 -28 11
13 Häcken II 19 18 40 -22 7
14 Alingsås W 19 17 26 -9 19
Elitettan Sweden. Elitettan Predictions