Statistics / Football / Burundi. Ligue A / Kayanza United vs Dynamik

Kayanza United vs Dynamik Statistics & Analysis

Kayanza United Kayanza United
May 09, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Dynamik Dynamik
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Kayanza United ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 21, 2026 · 17:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4863980

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kayanza United win · Kayanza United 3–1 Dynamik
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligue A
  • Fixture: Kayanza United vs Dynamik
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Kayanza United 1.45 — Dynamik 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.4% · Over 2.5 56.6%); BTTS No (Yes 49.9% · No 50.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 49.9% · No 50.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.3%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue A Ligue A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 18
16 Green Farmers FC 30 1 4 25 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Aigle Noir 30 62 25 +37 71
2 Rukinzo 30 49 28 +21 50
3 Royal Vision 30 47 31 +16 53
4 Bumamuru 30 47 33 +14 49
5 Vital'O 30 45 27 +18 50
6 Musongati 30 42 21 +21 59
7 Flambeau du Centre 30 42 23 +19 56
8 Kayanza United 30 40 45 -5 36
9 Muzinga 30 37 38 -1 43
10 Inter Star 30 37 42 -5 32
11 Ngozi City 30 37 43 -6 33
12 Olympic Star 30 36 35 +1 39
13 Dynamik 30 35 58 -23 29
14 Le Messager Ngozi 30 31 33 -2 33
15 Green Farmers FC 30 25 84 -59 7
16 Garage Express 30 15 61 -46 18
Ligue A Burundi. Ligue A Predictions