Statistics / Football / Japan. WE League / Parceiro Nagano W vs Vegalta Sendai

Parceiro Nagano W vs Vegalta Sendai Statistics & Analysis

Parceiro Nagano W Parceiro Nagano W
May 10, 2026 - 07:00
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 draw Vegalta Sendai ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 0-2, 1-1, 1-2, 0-0 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 15:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1467240

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vegalta Sendai win · Parceiro Nagano W 0–1 Vegalta Sendai
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: WE League
  • Fixture: Parceiro Nagano W vs Vegalta Sendai
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 04:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Parceiro Nagano W 1.45 — Vegalta Sendai 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 55.7% · Over 2.5 44.3%); BTTS No (Yes 27.4% · No 72.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 27.4% · No 72.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (14.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
WE League WE League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 INAC Kobe Leonessa W 22 17 2 3 53
2 Urawa Reds W 22 14 2 6 44
3 Tokyo Verdy Beleza W 22 13 2 7 41
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 22 10 8 4 38
5 Vegalta Sendai 22 9 7 6 34
6 Albirex Niigata W 22 9 4 9 31
7 Omiya Ardija Ventus W 22 6 9 7 27
8 Nojima Stella W 22 8 3 11 27
9 JEF United W 22 6 6 10 24
10 Cerezo Osaka W 22 5 6 11 21
11 Elfen Saitama W 22 5 3 14 18
12 Parceiro Nagano W 22 2 4 16 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 INAC Kobe Leonessa W 22 50 13 +37 53
2 Urawa Reds W 22 46 15 +31 44
3 Tokyo Verdy Beleza W 22 44 23 +21 41
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 22 30 20 +10 38
5 Nojima Stella W 22 28 34 -6 27
6 Omiya Ardija Ventus W 22 24 28 -4 27
7 Albirex Niigata W 22 23 27 -4 31
8 Vegalta Sendai 22 22 19 +3 34
9 Cerezo Osaka W 22 20 34 -14 21
10 Elfen Saitama W 22 20 37 -17 18
11 JEF United W 22 16 34 -18 24
12 Parceiro Nagano W 22 16 55 -39 10