Statistics / Football / Argentina. Primera C / Defensores de Cambaceres vs Victoriano Arenas

Defensores de Cambaceres vs Victoriano Arenas Statistics & Analysis

Defensores de Cambaceres Defensores de Cambaceres
Oct 02, 2026 - 21:30
0 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 64%
Victoriano Arenas Victoriano Arenas
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Defensores de Cambaceres Victoriano Arenas ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11261671

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Victoriano Arenas win · Defensores de Cambaceres 0–1 Victoriano Arenas
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primera C
  • Fixture: Defensores de Cambaceres vs Victoriano Arenas
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Defensores de Cambaceres 1.34 — Victoriano Arenas 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 30.5% · Probability edge: +17.7 pts · Est. EV: +54.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 03, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Primera C Primera C — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Berazategui 30 12 12 6 48
2 Lugano 30 11 13 6 46
3 Sacachispas 30 13 7 10 46
4 Centro Español 30 11 11 8 44
5 Estrella Del Sur 30 11 11 8 44
6 Mercedes 30 11 10 9 43
7 Juventud Unida 30 11 9 10 42
8 Victoriano Arenas 30 9 14 7 41
9 Puerto Nuevo 30 9 11 10 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 30 9 9 12 36
11 Deportivo Paraguayo 30 7 10 13 31
12 Leandro N. Alem 30 8 7 15 31
13 JJ Urquiza 30 5 14 11 29
14 Argentino Rosario 30 3 15 12 24
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Centro Español 30 37 27 +10 44
2 Berazategui 30 35 21 +14 48
3 Juventud Unida 30 35 29 +6 42
4 Lugano 30 33 25 +8 46
5 Sacachispas 30 32 26 +6 46
6 Estrella Del Sur 30 31 29 +2 44
7 Mercedes 30 29 23 +6 43
8 Leandro N. Alem 30 29 51 -22 31
9 Puerto Nuevo 30 27 31 -4 38
10 Argentino Rosario 30 27 39 -12 24
11 Defensores de Cambaceres 30 25 30 -5 36
12 Victoriano Arenas 30 23 19 +4 41
13 Deportivo Paraguayo 30 22 38 -16 31
14 JJ Urquiza 30 15 25 -10 29
Primera C Argentina. Primera C Predictions