Statistics / Football / Argentina. Primera Nacional / Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato Statistics & Analysis

Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
Oct 04, 2026 - 18:30
1 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Patronato Patronato
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11686407

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Chacarita Juniors win · Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Patronato
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Primera Nacional
  • Fixture: Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Chacarita Juniors 1.3 — Patronato 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 41.1% · Probability edge: +13.4 pts · Est. EV: +29.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Chacarita Juniors & Patronato!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 33 18 8 7 62
2 Deportivo Moron 33 17 7 9 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 33 14 11 8 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 33 14 11 8 53
6 CA Estudiantes 33 13 9 11 48
7 Almirante Brown 33 12 11 10 47
8 Ciudad de Bolívar 32 11 12 9 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 40
10 Chaco For Ever 33 10 10 13 40
11 Defensores De Belgrano 33 8 13 12 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 37
14 Atletico Mitre 33 7 15 11 36
15 Central Norte 33 6 16 11 34
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 33
17 Acassuso 33 8 8 17 32
18 San Miguel 33 6 14 13 32
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Deportivo Moron 33 51 34 +17 58
2 Deportivo Madryn 33 47 30 +17 53
3 Godoy Cruz 32 42 29 +13 56
4 Colon Santa Fe 33 39 25 +14 53
5 Ferro Carril Oeste 33 37 28 +9 62
6 Chaco For Ever 33 32 34 -2 40
7 CA Estudiantes 33 31 27 +4 48
8 Racing Cordoba 32 29 39 -10 37
9 Atletico Mitre 33 29 39 -10 36
10 San Telmo 32 28 36 -8 37
11 Ciudad de Bolívar 32 27 28 -1 45
12 Almirante Brown 33 26 22 +4 47
13 San Miguel 33 26 39 -13 32
14 Los Andes 32 25 23 +2 40
15 Defensores De Belgrano 33 25 32 -7 37
16 Acassuso 33 25 35 -10 32
17 Central Norte 33 21 30 -9 34
18 All Boys 32 18 28 -10 33
Primera Nacional Argentina. Primera Nacional Predictions