Kom vs Otrant-Olympic Statistics & Analysis

Kom

May 24, 2026 - 15:30

0 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Otrant-Olympic

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Kom Otrant-Olympic ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 22:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1653434

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Otrant-Olympic win · Kom 0–2 Otrant-Olympic

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Second League
Fixture: Kom vs Otrant-Olympic
Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Kom 1.45 — Otrant-Olympic 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 45.8% · Over 2.5 54.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 58.8% · No 41.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 58.8% · No 41.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Second League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Otrant-Olympic	36	23	5	8	74
2	Grbalj	36	21	4	11	67
3	Iskra	36	17	13	6	64
4	Berane	36	12	14	10	50
5	Kom	36	15	5	16	50
6	Lovćen	36	14	6	16	48
7	Mladost Lješkopolje	36	13	8	15	47
8	Rudar	36	12	9	15	45
9	Igalo	36	8	8	20	32
10	Internacional Podgorica	36	5	8	23	23

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Otrant-Olympic	36	81	31	+50	74
2	Grbalj	36	63	42	+21	67
3	Iskra	36	51	34	+17	64
4	Kom	36	47	43	+4	50
5	Rudar	36	47	48	-1	45
6	Berane	36	45	36	+9	50
7	Mladost Lješkopolje	36	39	46	-7	47
8	Lovćen	36	34	45	-11	48
9	Internacional Podgorica	36	31	76	-45	23
10	Igalo	36	21	58	-37	32