Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost Lješkopolje Statistics & Analysis

Otrant-Olympic

May 10, 2026 - 15:30

1 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 63%

Mladost Lješkopolje

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Otrant-Olympic Otrant-Olympic ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 23:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1774821

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Otrant-Olympic win · Otrant-Olympic 1–0 Mladost Lješkopolje

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Second League
Fixture: Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost Lješkopolje
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Otrant-Olympic 1.45 — Mladost Lješkopolje 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 49.4% · Over 2.5 50.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 50.1% · No 49.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 50.1% · No 49.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Second League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Otrant-Olympic	36	23	5	8	74
2	Grbalj	36	21	4	11	67
3	Iskra	36	17	13	6	64
4	Berane	36	12	14	10	50
5	Kom	36	15	5	16	50
6	Lovćen	36	14	6	16	48
7	Mladost Lješkopolje	36	13	8	15	47
8	Rudar	36	12	9	15	45
9	Igalo	36	8	8	20	32
10	Internacional Podgorica	36	5	8	23	23

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Otrant-Olympic	36	81	31	+50	74
2	Grbalj	36	63	42	+21	67
3	Iskra	36	51	34	+17	64
4	Kom	36	47	43	+4	50
5	Rudar	36	47	48	-1	45
6	Berane	36	45	36	+9	50
7	Mladost Lješkopolje	36	39	46	-7	47
8	Lovćen	36	34	45	-11	48
9	Internacional Podgorica	36	31	76	-45	23
10	Igalo	36	21	58	-37	32