Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 6 / Fram vs Sandefjord II

Fram vs Sandefjord II Statistics & Analysis

Fram Fram
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 85%
Sandefjord II Sandefjord II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Fram Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11224421

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Fram 1–1 Sandefjord II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 6
  • Fixture: Fram vs Sandefjord II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Fram 1.34 — Sandefjord II 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
3. Division - Girone 6 3. Division - Girone 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lillehammer 23 18 2 3 56
2 Elverum 22 14 2 6 44
3 Gjøvik-Lyn 23 13 2 8 41
4 Råde 22 12 4 6 40
5 Drøbak / Frogn 23 11 5 7 38
6 Ørn Horten 23 10 5 8 35
7 Sandefjord II 22 10 3 9 33
8 Oppsal 23 10 3 10 33
9 Lyn II 22 9 4 9 31
10 Raelingen 22 9 4 9 31
11 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 8 4 10 28
12 Fram 23 7 5 11 26
13 Brumunddal 23 3 3 17 12
14 Bjørkelangen 23 1 0 22 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lillehammer 23 84 32 +52 56
2 Råde 22 70 40 +30 40
3 Elverum 22 61 36 +25 44
4 Sandefjord II 22 54 46 +8 33
5 Drøbak / Frogn 23 52 32 +20 38
6 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 50 53 -3 28
7 Lyn II 22 47 47 0 31
8 Ørn Horten 23 44 36 +8 35
9 Gjøvik-Lyn 23 43 21 +22 41
10 Fram 23 43 49 -6 26
11 Oppsal 23 40 37 +3 33
12 Raelingen 22 39 54 -15 31
13 Brumunddal 23 25 92 -67 12
14 Bjørkelangen 23 17 94 -77 3
3. Division - Girone 6 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions