Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 5 / Strømsgodset II vs Skjetten

Strømsgodset II vs Skjetten Statistics & Analysis

Strømsgodset II Strømsgodset II
Oct 11, 2026 - 09:30
5 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 32%
Skjetten Skjetten
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Skjetten Strømsgodset II ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13189616

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Strømsgodset II win · Strømsgodset II 5–1 Skjetten
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 5
  • Fixture: Strømsgodset II vs Skjetten
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 09:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Strømsgodset II 1.25 — Skjetten 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 29.0% · Probability edge: +22.8 pts · Est. EV: +94.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 5 3. Division - Girone 5 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Skedsmo 23 16 2 5 50
2 Fløya 23 14 3 6 45
3 Alta 23 13 6 4 45
4 Harstad 23 13 4 6 43
5 Finnsnes 23 11 4 8 37
6 Skjetten 23 10 3 10 33
7 Kongsvinger II 23 10 2 11 32
8 Fauske Sprint 23 9 4 10 31
9 Lillestrøm II 23 9 1 13 28
10 Tromsø II 23 7 6 10 27
11 Strømsgodset II 23 8 3 12 27
12 Skjervøy 23 8 3 12 27
13 Bossekop 23 5 4 14 19
14 Ulfstind 23 4 3 16 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Harstad 23 73 37 +36 43
2 Lillestrøm II 23 71 58 +13 28
3 Fløya 23 64 35 +29 45
4 Fauske Sprint 23 60 75 -15 31
5 Alta 23 58 32 +26 45
6 Skjetten 23 56 51 +5 33
7 Skedsmo 23 53 30 +23 50
8 Strømsgodset II 23 49 52 -3 27
9 Kongsvinger II 23 46 63 -17 32
10 Tromsø II 23 43 39 +4 27
11 Finnsnes 23 42 37 +5 37
12 Ulfstind 23 38 81 -43 15
13 Skjervøy 23 37 58 -21 27
14 Bossekop 23 37 79 -42 19
3. Division - Girone 5 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 5 Predictions