Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 4 / Flekkerøy vs Odd II

Flekkerøy vs Odd II Statistics & Analysis

Flekkerøy Flekkerøy
Oct 09, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Odd II Odd II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Flekkerøy Odd II ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12690120

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Odd II win · Flekkerøy 0–1 Odd II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 4
  • Fixture: Flekkerøy vs Odd II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Flekkerøy 1.32 — Odd II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.1%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
3. Division - Girone 4 3. Division - Girone 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Madla 23 14 6 3 48
2 Mandalskameratene 22 13 4 5 43
3 Flekkerøy 23 12 3 8 39
4 Vindbjart 23 12 2 9 38
5 Varhaug 23 10 6 7 36
6 Viking II 23 10 5 8 35
7 Brodd 23 10 3 10 33
8 Våg 23 10 2 11 32
9 Stabæk II 22 9 3 10 30
10 Odd II 23 8 5 10 29
11 Staal Jørpeland 23 7 5 11 26
12 Hinna 23 6 5 12 23
13 Haugesund II 22 6 4 12 22
14 Åkra 22 4 3 15 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Madla 23 60 28 +32 48
2 Viking II 23 57 34 +23 35
3 Mandalskameratene 22 54 33 +21 43
4 Vindbjart 23 51 31 +20 38
5 Stabæk II 22 47 49 -2 30
6 Flekkerøy 23 45 37 +8 39
7 Staal Jørpeland 23 45 58 -13 26
8 Brodd 23 44 42 +2 33
9 Varhaug 23 42 37 +5 36
10 Hinna 23 42 67 -25 23
11 Odd II 23 40 50 -10 29
12 Haugesund II 22 40 63 -23 22
13 Våg 23 39 38 +1 32
14 Åkra 22 27 66 -39 15
3. Division - Girone 4 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 4 Predictions