Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 3 / Fana vs Åsane II

Fana vs Åsane II Statistics & Analysis

Fana Fana
Oct 05, 2026 - 16:00
5 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 30%
Åsane II Åsane II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Fana Fana ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11671315

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Fana win · Fana 5–2 Åsane II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 3
  • Fixture: Fana vs Åsane II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-05 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Fana 1.32 — Åsane II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.8%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 3 3. Division - Girone 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Os 23 17 1 5 52
2 Djerv 22 14 5 3 47
3 Askøy 23 12 7 4 43
4 Vard 23 12 5 6 41
5 Fana 23 13 2 8 41
6 Brann II 22 10 6 6 36
7 Austevoll 23 10 6 7 36
8 Førde 23 9 4 10 31
9 Sogndal II 23 9 3 11 30
10 Stord 23 5 9 9 24
11 Varegg 23 6 5 12 23
12 Åsane II 23 4 7 12 19
13 Gneist 23 5 3 15 18
14 Fyllingsdalen 23 1 3 19 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Os 23 76 39 +37 52
2 Fana 23 64 45 +19 41
3 Vard 23 62 42 +20 41
4 Sogndal II 23 61 49 +12 30
5 Djerv 22 58 30 +28 47
6 Brann II 22 54 42 +12 36
7 Austevoll 23 45 51 -6 36
8 Stord 23 44 61 -17 24
9 Førde 23 43 51 -8 31
10 Askøy 23 40 29 +11 43
11 Åsane II 23 39 57 -18 19
12 Gneist 23 39 67 -28 18
13 Varegg 23 37 46 -9 23
14 Fyllingsdalen 23 19 72 -53 6
3. Division - Girone 3 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 3 Predictions