Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 2 / Nardo vs Strindheim

Nardo vs Strindheim Statistics & Analysis

Nardo Nardo
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Strindheim Strindheim
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Nardo Strindheim ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11224211

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Strindheim win · Nardo 0–1 Strindheim
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 2
  • Fixture: Nardo vs Strindheim
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Nardo 1.3 — Strindheim 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 23.2% · Probability edge: +28.6 pts · Est. EV: +127.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 2 3. Division - Girone 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Volda 23 15 4 4 49
2 Strindheim 22 14 4 4 46
3 Melhus 22 11 5 6 38
4 Byåsen 23 11 4 8 37
5 Herd 23 9 5 9 32
6 Molde II 22 9 5 8 32
7 Rosenborg II 22 9 4 9 31
8 Nardo 22 9 2 11 29
9 Spjelkavik 23 8 4 11 28
10 NTNUI 23 7 7 9 28
11 Ranheim II 22 7 5 10 26
12 Kvik Trondheim 23 7 4 12 25
13 Orkla 23 5 5 13 20
14 Aalesund II 21 6 2 13 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Molde II 22 61 69 -8 32
2 Volda 23 59 25 +34 49
3 Strindheim 22 58 30 +28 46
4 Ranheim II 22 58 71 -13 26
5 Melhus 22 52 28 +24 38
6 Rosenborg II 22 50 40 +10 31
7 Byåsen 23 50 43 +7 37
8 Nardo 22 50 47 +3 29
9 Herd 23 49 45 +4 32
10 Spjelkavik 23 42 50 -8 28
11 Orkla 23 40 63 -23 20
12 Aalesund II 21 38 62 -24 20
13 NTNUI 23 35 48 -13 28
14 Kvik Trondheim 23 33 54 -21 25
3. Division - Girone 2 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 2 Predictions