Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 2 / Kvik Trondheim vs Byåsen

Kvik Trondheim vs Byåsen Statistics & Analysis

Kvik Trondheim Kvik Trondheim
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 76%
Byåsen Byåsen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Byåsen Byåsen ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11231130

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Byåsen win · Kvik Trondheim 1–2 Byåsen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 2
  • Fixture: Kvik Trondheim vs Byåsen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Kvik Trondheim 1.29 — Byåsen 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 2 3. Division - Girone 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Volda 22 15 4 3 49
2 Strindheim 22 14 4 4 46
3 Melhus 22 11 5 6 38
4 Byåsen 22 11 4 7 37
5 Molde II 22 9 5 8 32
6 Rosenborg II 22 9 4 9 31
7 Herd 22 8 5 9 29
8 Spjelkavik 22 8 4 10 28
9 Nardo 21 8 2 11 26
10 Ranheim II 22 7 5 10 26
11 NTNUI 22 6 7 9 25
12 Kvik Trondheim 22 6 4 12 22
13 Orkla 22 5 5 12 20
14 Aalesund II 21 6 2 13 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Molde II 22 61 69 -8 32
2 Volda 22 59 24 +35 49
3 Strindheim 22 58 30 +28 46
4 Ranheim II 22 58 71 -13 26
5 Melhus 22 52 28 +24 38
6 Rosenborg II 22 50 40 +10 31
7 Byåsen 22 49 40 +9 37
8 Herd 22 47 44 +3 29
9 Nardo 21 47 46 +1 26
10 Spjelkavik 22 41 48 -7 28
11 Orkla 22 40 62 -22 20
12 Aalesund II 21 38 62 -24 20
13 NTNUI 22 34 48 -14 25
14 Kvik Trondheim 22 32 54 -22 22
3. Division - Girone 2 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 2 Predictions