Statistics / Football / Norway. 2. Division - Group 2 / Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade

Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade Statistics & Analysis

Lørenskog Lørenskog
Oct 11, 2026 - 11:30
3 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 39%
Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Lørenskog Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13196093

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Lørenskog 3–3 Trygg/Lade
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Division - Group 2
  • Fixture: Lørenskog vs Trygg/Lade
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Lørenskog 1.32 — Trygg/Lade 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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2. Division - Group 2 2. Division - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Eidsvold 23 17 3 3 54
2 Kjelsås 22 15 2 5 47
3 Levanger 22 15 0 7 45
4 Hønefoss 22 14 3 5 45
5 Grorud 22 13 4 5 43
6 Stjørdals-Blink 22 10 3 9 33
7 Lørenskog 22 10 3 9 33
8 Tromsdalen Uil 22 10 2 10 32
9 Junkeren 22 9 4 9 31
10 Rana 22 9 3 10 30
11 Skeid 23 6 2 15 20
12 Follo 23 3 5 15 14
13 Ull/Kisa 23 4 1 18 13
14 Trygg/Lade 22 2 3 17 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hønefoss 22 56 33 +23 45
2 Eidsvold 23 55 20 +35 54
3 Levanger 22 53 27 +26 45
4 Kjelsås 22 51 32 +19 47
5 Grorud 22 40 20 +20 43
6 Tromsdalen Uil 22 39 38 +1 32
7 Stjørdals-Blink 22 38 38 0 33
8 Rana 22 38 39 -1 30
9 Lørenskog 22 33 37 -4 33
10 Skeid 23 33 52 -19 20
11 Junkeren 22 31 36 -5 31
12 Ull/Kisa 23 30 74 -44 13
13 Follo 23 27 50 -23 14
14 Trygg/Lade 22 25 53 -28 9
2. Division - Group 2 Norway. 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions