Statistics / Football / Norway. 2. Division - Group 2 / Grorud vs Lørenskog

Grorud vs Lørenskog Statistics & Analysis

Grorud Grorud
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
4 1.43
0 1.17
xG Accuracy: 36%
Lørenskog Lørenskog
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Grorud Grorud ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11224086

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Grorud win · Grorud 4–0 Lørenskog
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Division - Group 2
  • Fixture: Grorud vs Lørenskog
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Grorud 1.43 — Lørenskog 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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2. Division - Group 2 2. Division - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Eidsvold 21 16 3 2 51
2 Kjelsås 22 15 2 5 47
3 Levanger 21 15 0 6 45
4 Hønefoss 22 14 3 5 45
5 Grorud 22 13 4 5 43
6 Stjørdals-Blink 22 10 3 9 33
7 Lørenskog 22 10 3 9 33
8 Tromsdalen Uil 21 9 2 10 29
9 Junkeren 21 8 4 9 28
10 Rana 21 8 3 10 27
11 Skeid 22 6 2 14 20
12 Follo 22 3 5 14 14
13 Ull/Kisa 22 3 1 18 10
14 Trygg/Lade 21 2 3 16 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hønefoss 22 56 33 +23 45
2 Eidsvold 21 52 17 +35 51
3 Levanger 21 51 23 +28 45
4 Kjelsås 22 51 32 +19 47
5 Grorud 22 40 20 +20 43
6 Stjørdals-Blink 22 38 38 0 33
7 Rana 21 36 38 -2 27
8 Tromsdalen Uil 21 35 36 -1 29
9 Lørenskog 22 33 37 -4 33
10 Skeid 22 32 50 -18 20
11 Junkeren 21 29 35 -6 28
12 Ull/Kisa 22 26 72 -46 10
13 Follo 22 25 46 -21 14
14 Trygg/Lade 21 24 51 -27 9
2. Division - Group 2 Norway. 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions