Statistics / Football / Norway. 2. Division - Group 2 / Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink

Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink Statistics & Analysis

Follo Follo
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30
0 1.26
1 1.34
xG Accuracy: 64%
Stjørdals-Blink Stjørdals-Blink
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stjørdals-Blink Stjørdals-Blink ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11229216

Closing Odds 4.27
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Stjørdals-Blink win · Follo 0–1 Stjørdals-Blink
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Draw (1X2) by about 8.2 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Follo (1X2) 33.4 36.8 -3.4
Draw (1X2) 29.6 21.4 +8.2
Stjørdals-Blink (1X2) 37.0 41.8 -4.8
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 29.6% on Draw (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 21.4%. The difference — about 8.2 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Follo (1X2) 2.49 2.49 0.0
Draw (1X2) 4.27 4.27 0.0
Stjørdals-Blink (1X2) 2.19 2.19 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Division - Group 2
  • Fixture: Follo vs Stjørdals-Blink
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Follo 1.26 — Stjørdals-Blink 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 32.8% · Probability edge: +19.0 pts · Est. EV: +50.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Follo & Stjørdals-Blink!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
2. Division - Group 2 2. Division - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Eidsvold 21 16 3 2 51
2 Kjelsås 22 15 2 5 47
3 Levanger 21 15 0 6 45
4 Hønefoss 22 14 3 5 45
5 Grorud 22 13 4 5 43
6 Stjørdals-Blink 22 10 3 9 33
7 Lørenskog 22 10 3 9 33
8 Tromsdalen Uil 21 9 2 10 29
9 Junkeren 21 8 4 9 28
10 Rana 21 8 3 10 27
11 Skeid 22 6 2 14 20
12 Follo 22 3 5 14 14
13 Ull/Kisa 22 3 1 18 10
14 Trygg/Lade 21 2 3 16 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hønefoss 22 56 33 +23 45
2 Eidsvold 21 52 17 +35 51
3 Levanger 21 51 23 +28 45
4 Kjelsås 22 51 32 +19 47
5 Grorud 22 40 20 +20 43
6 Stjørdals-Blink 22 38 38 0 33
7 Rana 21 36 38 -2 27
8 Tromsdalen Uil 21 35 36 -1 29
9 Lørenskog 22 33 37 -4 33
10 Skeid 22 32 50 -18 20
11 Junkeren 21 29 35 -6 28
12 Ull/Kisa 22 26 72 -46 10
13 Follo 22 25 46 -21 14
14 Trygg/Lade 21 24 51 -27 9
2. Division - Group 2 Norway. 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions