Statistics / Football / Norway. 2. Division - Group 2 / Follo vs Eidsvold

Follo vs Eidsvold Statistics & Analysis

Follo Follo
Sep 19, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.26
1 1.34
xG Accuracy: 64%
Eidsvold Eidsvold
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Eidsvold Eidsvold ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8662819

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Eidsvold win · Follo 0–1 Eidsvold
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. Division - Group 2
  • Fixture: Follo vs Eidsvold
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Follo 1.26 — Eidsvold 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 20, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division - Group 2 2. Division - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Eidsvold 20 15 3 2 48
2 Kjelsås 19 14 1 4 43
3 Levanger 19 14 0 5 42
4 Hønefoss 20 13 3 4 42
5 Grorud 19 10 4 5 34
6 Lørenskog 19 9 3 7 30
7 Tromsdalen Uil 19 8 2 9 26
8 Junkeren 19 7 4 8 25
9 Rana 20 7 3 10 24
10 Stjørdals-Blink 19 7 3 9 24
11 Skeid 19 5 2 12 17
12 Follo 20 3 4 13 13
13 Ull/Kisa 19 3 1 15 10
14 Trygg/Lade 19 2 3 14 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hønefoss 20 51 28 +23 42
2 Levanger 19 50 21 +29 42
3 Eidsvold 20 48 16 +32 48
4 Kjelsås 19 45 26 +19 43
5 Rana 20 34 38 -4 24
6 Stjørdals-Blink 19 32 38 -6 24
7 Grorud 19 31 18 +13 34
8 Lørenskog 19 29 30 -1 30
9 Tromsdalen Uil 19 28 34 -6 26
10 Skeid 19 27 37 -10 17
11 Junkeren 19 26 31 -5 25
12 Follo 20 23 43 -20 13
13 Trygg/Lade 19 23 46 -23 9
14 Ull/Kisa 19 23 64 -41 10