Statistics / Football / Norway. 2. Division - Group 1 / Pors Grenland vs Vidar

Pors Grenland vs Vidar Statistics & Analysis

Pors Grenland Pors Grenland
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
4 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 44%
Vidar Vidar
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11224070

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pors Grenland win · Pors Grenland 4–1 Vidar
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. Division - Group 1
  • Fixture: Pors Grenland vs Vidar
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Pors Grenland 1.31 — Vidar 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division - Group 1 2. Division - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 jerv 21 16 3 2 51
2 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 44
3 Brattvåg 21 13 3 5 42
4 Mjondalen 21 13 2 6 41
5 Sotra 21 12 3 6 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34
8 Træff 21 8 6 7 30
9 Pors Grenland 22 7 5 10 26
10 Arendal 21 7 5 9 26
11 Sandviken 21 6 4 11 22
12 Lysekloster 21 3 5 13 14
13 Eik-Tønsberg 22 3 1 18 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bjarg 22 47 28 +19 44
2 Sotra 21 45 22 +23 39
3 jerv 21 44 18 +26 51
4 Brattvåg 21 44 26 +18 42
5 Mjondalen 21 39 28 +11 41
6 Træff 21 36 40 -4 30
7 Kvik Halden 22 34 27 +7 34
8 Sandviken 21 32 45 -13 22
9 Notodden 22 31 20 +11 35
10 Arendal 21 30 37 -7 26
11 Pors Grenland 22 28 31 -3 26
12 Eik-Tønsberg 22 24 50 -26 10
13 Lysekloster 21 23 45 -22 14
14 Vidar 22 20 60 -40 10
2. Division - Group 1 Norway. 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions