Statistics / Football / Norway. 1. Division / Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF

Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF Statistics & Analysis

Stabaek Stabaek
Oct 14, 2026 - 17:00
4 1.47
1 1.13
xG Accuracy: 48%
Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stabaek Stabaek ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13900126

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Stabaek win · Stabaek 4–1 Sandnes ULF
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-14 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
  • xG (showing): Stabaek 1.47 — Sandnes ULF 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kongsvinger 25 17 5 3 56
2 Haugesund 25 18 2 5 56
3 Stromsgodset 25 16 6 3 54
4 Stabaek 25 14 4 7 46
5 ODD Ballklubb 25 12 6 7 42
6 Bryne 25 12 2 11 38
7 hodd 25 10 4 11 34
8 Egersund 25 9 5 11 32
9 Ranheim 25 9 4 12 31
10 Lyn 25 8 4 13 28
11 Moss 25 8 4 13 28
12 Strommen 25 7 6 12 27
13 Sandnes ULF 25 7 5 13 26
14 Sogndal 24 6 5 13 23
15 Asane 25 6 5 14 23
16 Raufoss 24 6 1 17 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kongsvinger 25 76 37 +39 56
2 Haugesund 25 75 40 +35 56
3 Stromsgodset 25 66 32 +34 54
4 Ranheim 25 63 64 -1 31
5 Stabaek 25 59 33 +26 46
6 ODD Ballklubb 25 52 39 +13 42
7 hodd 25 41 51 -10 34
8 Lyn 25 40 54 -14 28
9 Moss 25 40 55 -15 28
10 Strommen 25 40 57 -17 27
11 Egersund 25 39 50 -11 32
12 Sogndal 24 39 55 -16 23
13 Sandnes ULF 25 36 46 -10 26
14 Asane 25 36 54 -18 23
15 Bryne 25 34 33 +1 38
16 Raufoss 24 27 63 -36 19
1. Division Norway. 1. Division Predictions