Statistics / Football / Norway. 1. Division / Moss vs Egersund

Moss vs Egersund Statistics & Analysis

Moss Moss
Oct 14, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.19
0 1.41
xG Accuracy: 49%
Egersund Egersund
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Egersund Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13899972

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Moss 0–0 Egersund
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: Moss vs Egersund
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-14 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Moss 1.19 — Egersund 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 32.6% · Probability edge: +19.2 pts · Est. EV: +49.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kongsvinger 25 17 5 3 56
2 Haugesund 25 18 2 5 56
3 Stromsgodset 25 16 6 3 54
4 Stabaek 25 14 4 7 46
5 ODD Ballklubb 25 12 6 7 42
6 Bryne 25 12 2 11 38
7 hodd 25 10 4 11 34
8 Egersund 25 9 5 11 32
9 Ranheim 25 9 4 12 31
10 Lyn 25 8 4 13 28
11 Moss 25 8 4 13 28
12 Strommen 25 7 6 12 27
13 Sandnes ULF 25 7 5 13 26
14 Sogndal 24 6 5 13 23
15 Asane 25 6 5 14 23
16 Raufoss 24 6 1 17 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kongsvinger 25 76 37 +39 56
2 Haugesund 25 75 40 +35 56
3 Stromsgodset 25 66 32 +34 54
4 Ranheim 25 63 64 -1 31
5 Stabaek 25 59 33 +26 46
6 ODD Ballklubb 25 52 39 +13 42
7 hodd 25 41 51 -10 34
8 Lyn 25 40 54 -14 28
9 Moss 25 40 55 -15 28
10 Strommen 25 40 57 -17 27
11 Egersund 25 39 50 -11 32
12 Sogndal 24 39 55 -16 23
13 Sandnes ULF 25 36 46 -10 26
14 Asane 25 36 54 -18 23
15 Bryne 25 34 33 +1 38
16 Raufoss 24 27 63 -36 19
1. Division Norway. 1. Division Predictions