Statistics / Football / Sweden. Allsvenskan / Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF

Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF Statistics & Analysis

Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
Oct 10, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.47
1 1.53
xG Accuracy: 76%
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Mjallby AIF Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13242426

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Mjallby AIF 1–1 Degerfors IF
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Allsvenskan
  • Fixture: Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away 34.6%
  • xG (showing): Mjallby AIF 1.47 — Degerfors IF 1.53 (total xG ≈ 3.0)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 57.7% · Implied: 49.9% · Probability edge: +7.8 pts · Est. EV: +12.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Allsvenskan Allsvenskan — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 51
2 Hammarby FF 22 13 4 5 43
3 Djurgardens IF 22 13 2 7 41
4 IF Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 37
5 BK Hacken 22 9 9 4 36
6 Vasteras SK FK 22 10 5 7 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 33
8 AIK Stockholm 22 9 6 7 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 32
10 Gais 22 8 6 8 30
11 IF Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 27
12 Mjallby AIF 22 5 7 10 22
13 Kalmar FF 22 5 4 13 19
14 Degerfors IF 22 5 4 13 19
15 Orgryte IS 22 3 6 13 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sirius 22 52 28 +24 51
2 Hammarby FF 22 49 20 +29 43
3 Djurgardens IF 22 47 21 +26 41
4 BK Hacken 22 39 30 +9 36
5 Malmo FF 22 37 33 +4 33
6 Vasteras SK FK 22 34 35 -1 35
7 IF Elfsborg 22 31 22 +9 37
8 AIK Stockholm 22 31 34 -3 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 31 41 -10 32
10 IF Brommapojkarna 22 30 36 -6 27
11 Gais 22 28 20 +8 30
12 Mjallby AIF 22 27 38 -11 22
13 Orgryte IS 22 25 49 -24 15
14 Kalmar FF 22 21 36 -15 19
15 Degerfors IF 22 19 34 -15 19
16 Halmstad 22 16 40 -24 14
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 BK Hacken 22 2.6 0.1 +2.5 36
2 IFK Goteborg 22 2.9 1.5 +1.4 32
3 Kalmar FF 22 1.6 0.5 +1.1 19
4 AIK Stockholm 22 7.0 6.3 +0.7 33
5 Sirius 22 1.9 1.2 +0.7 51
6 Malmo FF 22 1.3 0.6 +0.7 33
7 IF Brommapojkarna 22 3.1 3.2 -0.1 27
8 Vasteras SK FK 22 0.6 0.9 -0.3 35
9 Hammarby FF 22 1.0 1.4 -0.4 43
10 Degerfors IF 22 0.7 1.2 -0.5 19
11 Djurgardens IF 22 1.9 2.6 -0.7 41
12 Gais 22 1.2 1.9 -0.7 30
13 Mjallby AIF 22 4.0 5.8 -1.8 22
14 Orgryte IS 22 0.1 2.6 -2.5 15
15 IF Elfsborg 22 — — — 37
16 Halmstad 22 — — — 14
Allsvenskan Sweden. Allsvenskan Predictions