Statistics / Football / Sweden. Allsvenskan / Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF Statistics & Analysis

Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.59
1 1.11
xG Accuracy: 63%
Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hammarby FF Djurgardens IF ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13197490

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Djurgardens IF win · Hammarby FF 0–1 Djurgardens IF
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Allsvenskan
  • Fixture: Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 47.0% · Draw 28.0% · Away 25.0%
  • xG (showing): Hammarby FF 1.59 — Djurgardens IF 1.11 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 49.4% · Implied: 39.7% · Probability edge: +9.7 pts · Est. EV: +19.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Hammarby FF & Djurgardens IF!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Allsvenskan Allsvenskan — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 51
2 Hammarby FF 22 13 4 5 43
3 Djurgardens IF 22 13 2 7 41
4 IF Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 37
5 BK Hacken 22 9 9 4 36
6 Vasteras SK FK 22 10 5 7 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 33
8 AIK Stockholm 22 9 6 7 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 32
10 Gais 22 8 6 8 30
11 IF Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 27
12 Mjallby AIF 22 5 7 10 22
13 Kalmar FF 22 5 4 13 19
14 Degerfors IF 22 5 4 13 19
15 Orgryte IS 22 3 6 13 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sirius 22 52 28 +24 51
2 Hammarby FF 22 49 20 +29 43
3 Djurgardens IF 22 47 21 +26 41
4 BK Hacken 22 39 30 +9 36
5 Malmo FF 22 37 33 +4 33
6 Vasteras SK FK 22 34 35 -1 35
7 IF Elfsborg 22 31 22 +9 37
8 AIK Stockholm 22 31 34 -3 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 31 41 -10 32
10 IF Brommapojkarna 22 30 36 -6 27
11 Gais 22 28 20 +8 30
12 Mjallby AIF 22 27 38 -11 22
13 Orgryte IS 22 25 49 -24 15
14 Kalmar FF 22 21 36 -15 19
15 Degerfors IF 22 19 34 -15 19
16 Halmstad 22 16 40 -24 14
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 BK Hacken 22 2.6 0.1 +2.5 36
2 IFK Goteborg 22 2.9 1.5 +1.4 32
3 Kalmar FF 22 1.6 0.5 +1.1 19
4 AIK Stockholm 22 7.0 6.3 +0.7 33
5 Sirius 22 1.9 1.2 +0.7 51
6 Malmo FF 22 1.3 0.6 +0.7 33
7 IF Brommapojkarna 22 3.1 3.2 -0.1 27
8 Vasteras SK FK 22 0.6 0.9 -0.3 35
9 Hammarby FF 22 1.0 1.4 -0.4 43
10 Degerfors IF 22 0.7 1.2 -0.5 19
11 Djurgardens IF 22 1.9 2.6 -0.7 41
12 Gais 22 1.2 1.9 -0.7 30
13 Mjallby AIF 22 4.0 5.8 -1.8 22
14 Orgryte IS 22 0.1 2.6 -2.5 15
15 IF Elfsborg 22 — — — 37
16 Halmstad 22 — — — 14
Allsvenskan Sweden. Allsvenskan Predictions