AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna Statistics & Analysis

AIK Stockholm

Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00

5 1.79

6 1.11

xG Accuracy: 11%

IF Brommapojkarna

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (11 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 AIK Stockholm IF Brommapojkarna ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 5-6 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13206197

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result IF Brommapojkarna win · AIK Stockholm 5–6 IF Brommapojkarna

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Allsvenskan
Fixture: AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 51.3% · Draw 25.9% · Away 22.8%
xG (showing): AIK Stockholm 1.79 — IF Brommapojkarna 1.11 (total xG ≈ 2.9)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
Model: 42.7% · Implied: 38.4% · Probability edge: +4.3 pts · Est. EV: +11.0%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Allsvenskan — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	51
2	Hammarby FF	22	13	4	5	43
3	Djurgardens IF	22	13	2	7	41
4	IF Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	36
6	Vasteras SK FK	22	10	5	7	35
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	33
8	AIK Stockholm	22	9	6	7	33
9	IFK Goteborg	22	9	5	8	32
10	Gais	22	8	6	8	30
11	IF Brommapojkarna	22	7	6	9	27
12	Mjallby AIF	22	5	7	10	22
13	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	19
14	Degerfors IF	22	5	4	13	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	14

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Sirius	22	52	28	+24	51
2	Hammarby FF	22	49	20	+29	43
3	Djurgardens IF	22	47	21	+26	41
4	BK Hacken	22	39	30	+9	36
5	Malmo FF	22	37	33	+4	33
6	Vasteras SK FK	22	34	35	-1	35
7	IF Elfsborg	22	31	22	+9	37
8	AIK Stockholm	22	31	34	-3	33
9	IFK Goteborg	22	31	41	-10	32
10	IF Brommapojkarna	22	30	36	-6	27
11	Gais	22	28	20	+8	30
12	Mjallby AIF	22	27	38	-11	22
13	Orgryte IS	22	25	49	-24	15
14	Kalmar FF	22	21	36	-15	19
15	Degerfors IF	22	19	34	-15	19
16	Halmstad	22	16	40	-24	14

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	BK Hacken	22	2.6	0.1	+2.5	36
2	IFK Goteborg	22	2.9	1.5	+1.4	32
3	Kalmar FF	22	1.6	0.5	+1.1	19
4	AIK Stockholm	22	7.0	6.3	+0.7	33
5	Sirius	22	1.9	1.2	+0.7	51
6	Malmo FF	22	1.3	0.6	+0.7	33
7	IF Brommapojkarna	22	3.1	3.2	-0.1	27
8	Vasteras SK FK	22	0.6	0.9	-0.3	35
9	Hammarby FF	22	1.0	1.4	-0.4	43
10	Degerfors IF	22	0.7	1.2	-0.5	19
11	Djurgardens IF	22	1.9	2.6	-0.7	41
12	Gais	22	1.2	1.9	-0.7	30
13	Mjallby AIF	22	4.0	5.8	-1.8	22
14	Orgryte IS	22	0.1	2.6	-2.5	15
15	IF Elfsborg	22	—	—	—	37
16	Halmstad	22	—	—	—	14