Statistics / Football / USA. USL League One / Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos

Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos Statistics & Analysis

Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence
Oct 10, 2026 - 23:00
3 1.27
0 1.33
xG Accuracy: 43%
NY Cosmos NY Cosmos
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 NY Cosmos Charlotte Independence ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13253646

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Charlotte Independence win · Charlotte Independence 3–0 NY Cosmos
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: USL League One
  • Fixture: Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Charlotte Independence 1.27 — NY Cosmos 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 27.9% · Probability edge: +23.9 pts · Est. EV: +77.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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USL League One USL League One — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 52
4 Boise 30 15 7 8 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 45
9 Naples 29 11 4 14 37
10 Corpus Christi 29 9 9 11 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 33
13 Alta 29 8 8 13 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 31
15 NY Cosmos 28 7 4 17 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 23
18 Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Charlotte Independence 29 67 42 +25 60
2 Union Omaha 30 53 32 +21 61
3 Forward Madison 29 50 27 +23 52
4 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 50 43 +7 46
5 One Knoxville 30 49 34 +15 51
6 Westchester SC 29 48 46 +2 33
7 Boise 30 47 40 +7 52
8 Fort Wayne 30 46 37 +9 45
9 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 44 55 -11 31
10 Spokane Velocity 27 41 36 +5 47
11 Sarasota Paradise 28 39 43 -4 33
12 NY Cosmos 28 36 56 -20 25
13 Alta 29 35 42 -7 32
14 Naples 29 34 44 -10 37
15 Corpus Christi 29 33 43 -10 36
16 Greenville Triumph 28 30 52 -22 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 30 60 -30 23
18 Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0
USL League One USA. USL League One Predictions