Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P. Statistics & Analysis

Huracan

Oct 15, 2026 - 23:00

1 0.69

2 1.46

xG Accuracy: 79%

Gimnasia L.P.

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 0-1, 0-2, 1-1, 0-0, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 12, 2026 · 03:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-15171186

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Gimnasia L.P. win · Huracan 1–2 Gimnasia L.P.

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Profesional Argentina
Fixture: Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.
Kickoff: 2026-10-15 23:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 16.1% · Draw 29.8% · Away 54.1%
xG (showing): Huracan 0.69 — Gimnasia L.P. 1.46 (total xG ≈ 2.15)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
Model: 60.2% · Implied: 53.7% · Probability edge: +6.5 pts · Est. EV: +12.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 39.8% · No 60.2%
Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (17.0%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	11

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Independiente	16	24	20	+4	24
2	Union Santa Fe	16	24	20	+4	21
3	Boca Juniors	16	22	9	+13	30
4	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19	7	+12	31
5	Velez Sarsfield	16	18	12	+6	28
6	Lanus	16	18	15	+3	24
7	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18	21	-3	19
8	Talleres Cordoba	16	17	13	+4	26
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17	17	0	21
10	Newells Old Boys	16	15	27	-12	15
11	San Lorenzo	16	14	14	0	22
12	Gimnasia M.	16	14	22	-8	19
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11	21	-10	16
14	Platense	16	10	15	-5	16
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5	12	-7	11

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Instituto Cordoba	16	14.9	6.7	+8.2	21
2	Lanus	16	14.5	10.2	+4.3	24
3	Boca Juniors	16	10.9	6.7	+4.2	30
4	Union Santa Fe	16	11.5	8.3	+3.2	21
5	Defensa Y Justicia	16	14.0	10.9	+3.1	19
6	Deportivo Riestra	16	11.1	8.6	+2.5	11
7	Estudiantes L.P.	16	14.6	12.8	+1.8	31
8	Independiente	16	8.9	9.4	-0.5	24
9	Newells Old Boys	16	7.5	8.7	-1.2	15
10	Gimnasia M.	16	9.0	11.0	-2.0	19
11	Platense	16	7.9	10.6	-2.7	16
12	Talleres Cordoba	16	10.8	13.8	-3.0	26
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	12.4	15.6	-3.2	16
14	San Lorenzo	16	6.3	10.1	-3.8	22
15	Velez Sarsfield	16	6.7	11.8	-5.1	28