River Plate vs Huracan Statistics & Analysis

River Plate

Sep 19, 2026 - 22:00

1 1.47

2 0.93

xG Accuracy: 66%

Huracan

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 River Plate Huracan ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 1-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8710502

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Huracan win · River Plate 1–2 Huracan

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Profesional Argentina
Fixture: River Plate vs Huracan
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 48.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 22.3%
xG (showing): River Plate 1.47 — Huracan 0.93 (total xG ≈ 2.4)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 38.9% · Probability edge: +9.3 pts · Est. EV: +15.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 48.2% · No 51.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (13.3%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	11

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Independiente	16	24	20	+4	24
2	Union Santa Fe	16	24	20	+4	21
3	Boca Juniors	16	22	9	+13	30
4	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19	7	+12	31
5	Velez Sarsfield	16	18	12	+6	28
6	Lanus	16	18	15	+3	24
7	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18	21	-3	19
8	Talleres Cordoba	16	17	13	+4	26
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17	17	0	21
10	Newells Old Boys	16	15	27	-12	15
11	San Lorenzo	16	14	14	0	22
12	Gimnasia M.	16	14	22	-8	19
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11	21	-10	16
14	Platense	16	10	15	-5	16
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5	12	-7	11

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Instituto Cordoba	16	14.2	5.0	+9.2	21
2	Defensa Y Justicia	16	11.9	8.5	+3.4	19
3	Lanus	16	12.8	9.6	+3.2	24
4	Boca Juniors	16	9.2	6.0	+3.2	30
5	Union Santa Fe	16	9.1	6.2	+2.9	21
6	Deportivo Riestra	16	9.7	7.2	+2.5	11
7	Estudiantes L.P.	16	12.1	9.8	+2.3	31
8	Gimnasia M.	16	8.7	8.6	+0.1	19
9	Independiente	16	8.1	9.1	-1.0	24
10	Talleres Cordoba	16	10.4	13.0	-2.6	26
11	Newells Old Boys	16	5.1	8.3	-3.2	15
12	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	9.4	13.1	-3.7	16
13	Platense	16	6.3	10.2	-3.9	16
14	San Lorenzo	16	4.8	8.7	-3.9	22
15	Velez Sarsfield	16	6.1	10.1	-4.0	28