Wexford vs Longford Town Statistics & Analysis

Wexford

Oct 02, 2026 - 18:45

3 1.29

3 1.31

xG Accuracy: 39%

Longford Town

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Longford Town Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10981321

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Wexford 3–3 Longford Town

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: First Division
Fixture: Wexford vs Longford Town
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 18:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Wexford 1.29 — Longford Town 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.4% · Probability edge: +9.5 pts · Est. EV: +24.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

First Division — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Cork City	34	22	5	7	71
2	Bray Wanderers	34	15	8	11	53
3	UCD	34	15	7	12	52
4	Cobh Ramblers	34	14	7	13	49
5	Longford Town	34	13	9	12	48
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	48
7	Athlone Town	34	13	9	12	48
8	Wexford	34	11	8	15	41
9	Treaty United	34	9	9	16	36
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	25

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Cork City	34	71	34	+37	71
2	Bray Wanderers	34	65	49	+16	53
3	UCD	34	61	48	+13	52
4	Longford Town	34	47	45	+2	48
5	Cobh Ramblers	34	46	50	-4	49
6	Kerry	34	42	40	+2	48
7	Athlone Town	34	41	40	+1	48
8	Wexford	34	40	51	-11	41
9	Treaty United	34	33	52	-19	36
10	Finn Harps	34	31	68	-37	25