Csikszereda MC vs Farul Constanţa W Statistics & Analysis

Csikszereda MC

May 09, 2026 - 09:00

0 1.45

4 1.25

xG Accuracy: 32%

Farul Constanţa W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Csikszereda MC Farul Constanţa W ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 2-2 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 18:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1747690

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Farul Constanţa W win · Csikszereda MC 0–4 Farul Constanţa W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga 1 Feminin
Fixture: Csikszereda MC vs Farul Constanţa W
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Csikszereda MC 1.45 — Farul Constanţa W 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 39.0% · Over 2.5 61.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 74.6% · No 25.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 74.6% · No 25.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga 1 Feminin — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Farul Constanţa W	14	11	2	1	35
2	Olimpia Cluj	14	9	2	3	29
3	Csikszereda MC	14	8	4	2	28
4	SSU Poli Timişoara W	14	8	3	3	27
5	Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud	14	5	0	9	15
6	Unirea Alba Iulia W	14	3	2	9	11
7	Atletic Olimpia Gherla	14	3	1	10	10
8	Vasas Femina W	14	1	2	11	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Farul Constanţa W	14	43	9	+34	35
2	Olimpia Cluj	14	40	17	+23	29
3	Csikszereda MC	14	36	8	+28	28
4	SSU Poli Timişoara W	14	26	15	+11	27
5	Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud	14	24	31	-7	15
6	Atletic Olimpia Gherla	14	20	37	-17	10
7	Unirea Alba Iulia W	14	14	24	-10	11
8	Vasas Femina W	14	6	68	-62	5