Pardubice U19 vs Karviná U19 Statistics & Analysis

Pardubice U19

May 16, 2026 - 10:45

3 1.45

4 1.25

xG Accuracy: 31%

Karviná U19

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Pardubice U19 Karviná U19 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 2-2 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 09:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2504375

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Karviná U19 win · Pardubice U19 3–4 Karviná U19

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 1. Liga U19
Fixture: Pardubice U19 vs Karviná U19
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Pardubice U19 1.45 — Karviná U19 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 38.0% · Over 2.5 62.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 73.9% · No 26.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 73.9% · No 26.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

1. Liga U19 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Hradec Králové U19	29	18	6	5	60
2	Baník Ostrava U19	30	16	6	8	54
3	Viktoria Plzeň U19	29	14	6	9	48
4	Karviná U19	30	15	3	12	48
5	Mladá Boleslav U19	30	14	3	13	45
6	Sparta Praha U19	29	14	3	12	45
7	Zbrojovka Brno U19	30	13	6	11	45
8	Slavia Praha U19	29	14	2	13	44
9	Dukla Praha U19	29	12	6	11	42
10	České Budějovice U19	29	12	5	12	41
11	Pardubice U19	29	11	6	12	39
12	Slovácko U19	30	11	6	13	39
13	Sigma Olomouc U19	29	10	6	13	36
14	Zlín U19	29	8	8	13	32
15	Slovan Liberec U19	29	8	4	17	28
16	Vysočina Jihlava U19	30	5	4	21	19

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Hradec Králové U19	29	70	36	+34	60
2	Slavia Praha U19	29	62	62	0	44
3	Baník Ostrava U19	30	60	50	+10	54
4	Viktoria Plzeň U19	29	59	46	+13	48
5	Sparta Praha U19	29	59	53	+6	45
6	České Budějovice U19	29	59	63	-4	41
7	Mladá Boleslav U19	30	55	43	+12	45
8	Karviná U19	30	54	47	+7	48
9	Slovan Liberec U19	29	53	73	-20	28
10	Pardubice U19	29	50	48	+2	39
11	Dukla Praha U19	29	49	51	-2	42
12	Zlín U19	29	47	50	-3	32
13	Zbrojovka Brno U19	30	46	43	+3	45
14	Slovácko U19	30	43	53	-10	39
15	Sigma Olomouc U19	29	41	45	-4	36
16	Vysočina Jihlava U19	30	31	75	-44	19