Statistics / Football / USA. Major League Soccer / Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Statistics & Analysis

Nashville SC Nashville SC
Oct 15, 2026 - 00:30
4 2.20
0 1.20
xG Accuracy: 44%
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 09, 2026 · 01:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14185215

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nashville SC win · Nashville SC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Major League Soccer
  • Fixture: Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-15 00:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 65.0% · Draw 19.6% · Away 15.3%
  • xG (showing): Nashville SC 2.2 — Sporting Kansas City 1.2 (total xG ≈ 3.4)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 32
12 San Diego 28 8 8 12 32
13 Austin 28 7 10 11 31
14 Minnesota United FC 28 7 9 12 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 61 30 +31 51
2 St. Louis City 28 54 38 +16 50
3 FC Dallas 28 52 45 +7 47
4 Portland Timbers 28 51 54 -3 33
5 San Jose Earthquakes 28 50 40 +10 46
6 San Diego 28 48 51 -3 32
7 Los Angeles FC 29 44 31 +13 42
8 Minnesota United FC 28 42 51 -9 30
9 Real Salt Lake 28 41 46 -5 32
10 Colorado Rapids 28 39 39 0 37
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 39 50 -11 36
12 Seattle Sounders 28 38 35 +3 41
13 Houston Dynamo 28 36 34 +2 45
14 Austin 28 36 51 -15 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 35 68 -33 22
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 St. Louis City 28 19.6 10.8 +8.8 50
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 17.4 8.8 +8.6 51
3 Colorado Rapids 28 15.9 9.8 +6.1 37
4 Minnesota United FC 28 20.7 16.9 +3.8 30
5 Portland Timbers 28 21.2 17.8 +3.4 33
6 Los Angeles FC 29 20.0 17.6 +2.4 42
7 San Diego 28 19.4 17.1 +2.3 32
8 San Jose Earthquakes 28 15.4 16.2 -0.8 46
9 Houston Dynamo 28 14.1 14.9 -0.8 45
10 Seattle Sounders 28 13.9 17.0 -3.1 41
11 FC Dallas 28 13.6 17.2 -3.6 47
12 Real Salt Lake 28 17.1 22.1 -5.0 32
13 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 14.9 24.5 -9.6 36
14 Sporting Kansas City 28 12.3 24.0 -11.7 22
15 Austin 28 11.2 23.0 -11.8 31
Major League Soccer USA. Major League Soccer Predictions