DC United vs Charlotte Statistics & Analysis

DC United

Sep 19, 2026 - 23:30

1 1.38

2 1.53

xG Accuracy: 79%

Charlotte

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Charlotte Charlotte ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8711260

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Charlotte win · DC United 1–2 Charlotte

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Major League Soccer
Fixture: DC United vs Charlotte
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.8% · Draw 27.6% · Away 39.6%
xG (showing): DC United 1.38 — Charlotte 1.53 (total xG ≈ 2.91)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 44.4% · Implied: 39.8% · Probability edge: +4.6 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 60.1% · No 39.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Major League Soccer — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	18

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	56	23	+33	49
2	FC Dallas	26	49	42	+7	44
3	Portland Timbers	26	47	48	-1	32
4	San Jose Earthquakes	26	46	38	+8	42
5	St. Louis City	26	45	36	+9	44
6	San Diego	26	44	44	0	31
7	Los Angeles FC	27	43	29	+14	41
8	Minnesota United FC	26	39	46	-7	29
9	Real Salt Lake	26	37	44	-7	29
10	Colorado Rapids	26	36	35	+1	36
11	Houston Dynamo	26	34	30	+4	44
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	34	42	-8	33
13	Austin	26	32	44	-12	30
14	Seattle Sounders	25	30	33	-3	32
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	29	63	-34	18

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15.4	7.0	+8.4	49
2	St. Louis City	26	16.2	8.0	+8.2	44
3	Colorado Rapids	26	12.7	7.5	+5.2	36
4	Portland Timbers	26	19.0	14.2	+4.8	32
5	Minnesota United FC	26	17.8	13.3	+4.5	29
6	San Diego	26	14.7	12.0	+2.7	31
7	San Jose Earthquakes	26	13.6	13.1	+0.5	42
8	Houston Dynamo	26	11.6	11.1	+0.5	44
9	Los Angeles FC	27	14.5	15.8	-1.3	41
10	FC Dallas	26	10.4	11.7	-1.3	44
11	Austin	26	9.5	13.7	-4.2	30
12	Seattle Sounders	25	10.6	15.4	-4.8	32
13	Real Salt Lake	26	14.2	19.2	-5.0	29
14	Sporting Kansas City	25	9.8	18.2	-8.4	18
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	11.2	21.1	-9.9	33