Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B / Chomutov vs Meteor Praha

Chomutov vs Meteor Praha Statistics & Analysis

Chomutov Chomutov
May 08, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
Meteor Praha Meteor Praha
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Chomutov Chomutov ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 20:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2899816

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Chomutov win · Chomutov 2–1 Meteor Praha
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie B
  • Fixture: Chomutov vs Meteor Praha
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Chomutov 1.45 — Meteor Praha 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 45.8% · Over 2.5 54.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 68.2% · No 31.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 68.2% · No 31.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie B 4. liga - Divizie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Újezd Praha 4 29 19 5 5 62
2 Chomutov 29 18 4 7 58
3 Ostrov 29 17 4 8 55
4 Tempo Praha 29 15 8 6 53
5 Karlovy Vary 29 14 8 7 50
6 Meteor Praha 30 15 3 12 48
7 Slaný 29 14 5 10 47
8 Rapid Psáry 29 12 7 10 43
9 Baník Sokolov 29 12 4 13 40
10 Ústí nad Labem II 30 11 5 14 38
11 Štětí 29 11 4 14 37
12 Spoje Praha 29 9 8 12 35
13 Mariánské Lázně 29 8 5 16 29
14 Louny 29 7 5 17 26
15 Olympie Březová 29 6 4 19 22
16 Přední Kopanina 29 4 3 22 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Újezd Praha 4 29 76 43 +33 62
2 Tempo Praha 29 67 32 +35 53
3 Ústí nad Labem II 30 66 53 +13 38
4 Karlovy Vary 29 59 42 +17 50
5 Slaný 29 56 46 +10 47
6 Chomutov 29 54 32 +22 58
7 Baník Sokolov 29 54 46 +8 40
8 Meteor Praha 30 52 46 +6 48
9 Rapid Psáry 29 51 47 +4 43
10 Ostrov 29 49 34 +15 55
11 Štětí 29 49 56 -7 37
12 Mariánské Lázně 29 44 62 -18 29
13 Spoje Praha 29 41 43 -2 35
14 Olympie Březová 29 39 87 -48 22
15 Louny 29 35 71 -36 26
16 Přední Kopanina 29 32 84 -52 15
4. liga - Divizie B Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie B Predictions