Dobrovice vs Přepeře Statistics & Analysis

Dobrovice

Jun 13, 2026 - 11:30

0 1.19

1 1.60

xG Accuracy: 61%

Přepeře

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Přepeře Přepeře ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 11:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1702438

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Přepeře win · Dobrovice 0–1 Přepeře

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie C
Fixture: Dobrovice vs Přepeře
Kickoff: 2026-06-13 11:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 26.9% · Draw 27.8% · Away 45.4%
xG (showing): Dobrovice 1.19 — Přepeře 1.6 (total xG ≈ 2.79)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie C — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Čáslav	29	20	3	6	63
2	Horní Ředice	29	19	2	8	59
3	Vysoké Mýto	29	17	7	5	58
4	Přepeře	29	17	3	8	55
5	Turnov	29	15	6	8	51
6	Kosmonosy	29	14	7	8	49
7	Trutnov	29	14	5	10	47
8	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	29	12	5	12	41
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	28	10	8	10	38
10	Hlinsko	28	11	2	14	35
11	Brandýs nad Labem	29	7	13	9	34
12	Chrudim II	29	9	6	14	33
13	Svitavy	29	8	7	14	31
14	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	29	6	5	18	23
15	Náchod	29	4	5	20	17
16	Dobrovice	29	4	4	21	16

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Čáslav	29	72	35	+37	63
2	Horní Ředice	29	72	40	+32	59
3	Turnov	29	67	54	+13	51
4	Kosmonosy	29	61	42	+19	49
5	Trutnov	29	61	53	+8	47
6	Hlinsko	28	60	61	-1	35
7	Přepeře	29	58	36	+22	55
8	Vysoké Mýto	29	53	23	+30	58
9	Náchod	29	43	70	-27	17
10	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	29	42	40	+2	41
11	Svitavy	29	42	67	-25	31
12	Brandýs nad Labem	29	41	51	-10	34
13	Chrudim II	29	41	54	-13	33
14	Spartak Police n/Metují	28	39	50	-11	38
15	Dobrovice	29	27	77	-50	16
16	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	29	26	49	-23	23