Hlinsko vs Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou Statistics & Analysis

Hlinsko

May 16, 2026 - 08:30

0 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 63%

Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
1X2 Hlinsko Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 1-2, 3-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 05:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1680497

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Hlinsko 0–0 Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 4. liga - Divizie C
Fixture: Hlinsko vs Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Hlinsko 1.45 — Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 31.2% · Over 2.5 68.8%); BTTS No (Yes 40.1% · No 59.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 40.1% · No 59.9%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie C — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Čáslav	29	20	3	6	63
2	Horní Ředice	29	19	2	8	59
3	Vysoké Mýto	29	17	7	5	58
4	Přepeře	29	17	3	8	55
5	Turnov	29	15	6	8	51
6	Kosmonosy	29	14	7	8	49
7	Trutnov	29	14	5	10	47
8	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	29	12	5	12	41
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	28	10	8	10	38
10	Hlinsko	28	11	2	14	35
11	Brandýs nad Labem	29	7	13	9	34
12	Chrudim II	29	9	6	14	33
13	Svitavy	29	8	7	14	31
14	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	29	6	5	18	23
15	Náchod	29	4	5	20	17
16	Dobrovice	29	4	4	21	16

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Čáslav	29	72	35	+37	63
2	Horní Ředice	29	72	40	+32	59
3	Turnov	29	67	54	+13	51
4	Kosmonosy	29	61	42	+19	49
5	Trutnov	29	61	53	+8	47
6	Hlinsko	28	60	61	-1	35
7	Přepeře	29	58	36	+22	55
8	Vysoké Mýto	29	53	23	+30	58
9	Náchod	29	43	70	-27	17
10	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	29	42	40	+2	41
11	Svitavy	29	42	67	-25	31
12	Brandýs nad Labem	29	41	51	-10	34
13	Chrudim II	29	41	54	-13	33
14	Spartak Police n/Metují	28	39	50	-11	38
15	Dobrovice	29	27	77	-50	16
16	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	29	26	49	-23	23