Křimice vs Doubravka Statistics & Analysis

Křimice

May 29, 2026 - 16:00

3 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 46%

Doubravka

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Křimice Křimice ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 15:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3057567

Closing Odds 1.17

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Křimice win · Křimice 3–0 Doubravka

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Doubravka (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Doubravka (1X2) by about 22.6 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Křimice (1X2)	41.8	75.8	-34.0
Draw (1X2)	25.7	14.3	+11.4
Doubravka (1X2)	32.6	9.9	+22.6

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 32.6% on Doubravka (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 9.9%. The difference — about 22.6 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Křimice (1X2)	1.17	1.17
Draw (1X2)	6.21	6.21
Doubravka (1X2)	8.91	8.91

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Model favours Křimice; market prices Křimice instead — inputs may be missing or stale.

Model: Křimice 1.45 xG vs Doubravka 1.25 → Křimice 41.8%
Market: Křimice ~75.8% implied
Validation failed — do not treat 1X2 EV as actionable.

Do not act on 1X2 value until validation passes. Structural leans (O/U, BTTS) need separate odds review.

Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 33.0% · Over 2.5 67.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 72.6% · No 27.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Křimice & Doubravka!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie A — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Benešov	29	24	3	2	75
2	Povltava FA	29	20	6	3	66
3	Spartak Soběslav	29	17	8	4	59
4	Hluboka nad Vltavou	30	15	8	7	53
5	Křimice	29	16	4	9	52
6	Rokycany	29	14	7	8	49
7	Hořovicko	29	12	5	12	41
8	Slavoj Český Krumlov	30	13	2	15	41
9	Komárov	29	12	5	12	41
10	Jiskra Domažlice II	29	10	7	12	37
11	Milevsko	29	9	9	11	36
12	Doubravka	29	9	6	14	33
13	TJ Přeštice	29	5	7	17	22
14	Milin	29	6	4	19	22
15	Tachov	29	2	7	20	13
16	Petřín Plzeň II	29	2	6	21	12

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Benešov	29	83	13	+70	75
2	Spartak Soběslav	29	70	45	+25	59
3	Povltava FA	29	69	30	+39	66
4	Hluboka nad Vltavou	30	66	40	+26	53
5	Křimice	29	60	28	+32	52
6	Jiskra Domažlice II	29	58	69	-11	37
7	Slavoj Český Krumlov	30	57	59	-2	41
8	Doubravka	29	51	61	-10	33
9	Hořovicko	29	45	43	+2	41
10	Komárov	29	44	47	-3	41
11	TJ Přeštice	29	41	65	-24	22
12	Milevsko	29	40	52	-12	36
13	Rokycany	29	37	30	+7	49
14	Milin	29	36	68	-32	22
15	Petřín Plzeň II	29	22	74	-52	12
16	Tachov	29	16	71	-55	13