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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 draw Partick ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.38
CLV
—
Final Result
Partick win · Partick 3–1 Montrose
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 42.0%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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